Module 05 · Risk9 min read

The types of risk in commodity trading

Name them before they find you.

Trading is risk management dressed up as buying and selling. The job isn't to avoid risk — it's to take the risks you understand and get paid for, while neutralising the ones you don't. Here are the risks that show up on every desk.

Price (flat-price) risk
The commodity's outright price moves between when you buy and when you sell. Usually hedged away.
Basis risk
The physical price and the hedge (futures) price don't move perfectly together — the leftover risk after hedging.
Counterparty / credit risk
Your supplier or buyer fails to pay or perform. In niche trades this is the risk that can wipe you out.
Performance risk
A counterparty delivers late, short, or off-spec.
Political / country risk
Sanctions, export bans, expropriation, war, sudden regulation in the countries you touch.
Currency (FX) risk
You buy in one currency and sell in another and the rate moves against you.
Operational risk
Something in execution goes wrong — documents, vessel, inspection, fraud.
Watch · Damien Würsten
Related video from Damien Würsten’s public YouTube channel, embedded for context. The written lesson above is independent, original material.
Check yourself
  • Why is counterparty risk especially dangerous on thin margins?